The End of Certainty: How To Thrive When Playing By The Rules Is A Losing Strategy by Simon Dudley

Author:Simon Dudley
Language: eng
Format: mobi
ISBN: 9781619613447
Publisher: Lioncrest Publishing
Published: 2015-08-05T14:00:00+00:00

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As we discussed earlier, the building blocks for a technology will come along, but they don’t all come along at once. Once we get to the point where all of the pieces that are required for a technology to function are in place, then it spontaneously happens. This often occurs in multiple places simultaneously. We’ve already discussed this notion in the idea of pyramids; for refrigeration, there was certainly companies making refrigerators in numerous locations around the world and they all took off at the same time.

This didn’t mean that refrigerators were universal. They were only universal where all this technology had coalesced. For example, in China there wasn’t much in the way of refrigeration because there wasn’t much in the way of electrification. China wasn’t electrified until the 1960s. They were missing a key ingredient in the essential ecosystem, and so their refrigeration was delayed.

To be able to utilize a new paradigm shift, a new series of puzzle pieces have to be all clicked together. If we’re personally not in a location where all of those pieces come together, then we won’t be able to take advantage of that technology. But when the puzzle pieces are all present, it seems to be inevitable. Like a developing thunderstorm, when the right elements are placed in close proximity, there’s really no stopping them from creating an event—including an Excession Event.

So if these events are inevitably going to happen, what can you do about them?

You can pay attention. If you’re not aware that a number of pieces of technology are coalescing or are building on themselves, then you’re going to get blindsided. You may only see three of the four elements or five of the nine elements. If you miss just one of them and you don’t realize that 5G technology is coming, or there’s been a breakthrough in battery technology, or processing performances have suddenly skyrocketed or any number of other pieces of the puzzle…if you can’t see them all then you’re not going to see the bigger picture. Simply paying attention is a critically important step to managing Excession Events.

Earlier we talked about the advantages of knowing less and less about more and more. To be a polymath: The person who sits above it all and has enough information about any one piece of the puzzle to see where it fits, without having to be an expert in any one piece. Because the trouble with being the expert is that it often means you need to have specialized, which takes you down the rabbit hole of not being able to see the bigger picture, and leaves you wedded and heavily invested in the status quo.

You must pay attention to surrounding areas too, as they may have an impact. For example, the car industry was blindsided by the sort of technology that Elon Musk put together because he came out of a technology background. He knew all about things like laptop batteries and how, if you couple thousands of

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